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Early Returns

Of course it’s far too early to judge a draft by the first month and a half, but for fun let’s take a look at some of the early returns on some of the Cardinal draftees and see some of the early surprises and disappointments.

  • Clayton Mortensen- I was surprised as most of you were that the Cards took Mortensen in the supplemental round, but so far he’s acquitted himself rather nicely. In 20 innings pitched for Batavia, Mort struck out 27.7% of the batters he faced and had a nifty 72% ground ball rate. He did struggle a bit with walks (11). Since promoted to the Swing he has a 5.63 ERA in just 8 innings, but he’s struck out 9 and walked just 1 batter, and has a crazy BABIP against of .542. Carlos Gomez gave him a favorable review, and I’m liking the pick far more then I thought I would. He also came $205K under slot.
  • David Kopp - Earlier landed on the DL with an ankle injury, only pitched 4 innings so far. A sinkerballer, 17 of the 19 balls put in play against him have been grounders.
  • Jesse Todd - He’s struck out 30% of the batters he’s faced and has a 59% ground ball rate over 35.2 innings for Batavia. One of my favorite picks of the draft, he’s probably ready for the next level.
  • Daniel Descalso - From day one I said this was a totally insane overdraft, and Descalso is proving me right so far. He has one XBH in 118 at bats and a .501 OPS for Batavia. While you could say his BABIP of .235 is unlucky, he’s killing worms, hitting the ball on the ground 60% of the time when he puts it in play, and has a lowly 12% line drive rate. On the plus, he hasn’t struck out much so I expect some progression. Did I mention it was early? No need to call him a total bust yet, but he needs to figure out how to hit with wood. I just don’t see why they picked him so high when scouts saw him in the 6th to 10th round. Xanadu.
  • Thomas Eager - I’m thinking as a general rule of thumb, the Cardinals need to stop looking at Cal Poly pitchers. Gary Daley has been hurt, but hasn’t really done anything that special when healthy. Eager has a 4.65 FIP in 25 IP thus far, not that great so far pitching for Batavia.
  • Oliver Marmol -He has 10 errors in 26 games and an OPS of .583 for Batavia. I don’t want Oliver Marmol, just enough for my pancakes.
  • Deryk Hooker - So far, so good. For the GCL team, he has 23 K’s and just 3 walks over 16 innings. One of the few high school picks, glad he’s doing well so far.
  • Beau Riportella - In case you didn’t know, Beau knows baseball. Beau also has a posse. He must be pretty fast, because he’s hitting the ball on the ground 57% of the time yet is hitting .356. Turns 20 next month, and while he’s doing well on the surface, his periphs are not that exciting, low ISO .115 and walk rate 6.3%. He still is a pretty interesting pick to me, given the scouting reports of his speed and fielding ability.
  • Steve Hill - Easily one of my favorite picks, Hill was off to a great start for Batavia, posting a 1.203 OPS in 45 plate appearances. Hit somewhat of a wall for the Swing as of a late, but still slugging .480. Now if they could find him a position.
  • Josh Dew - Has struck out 27.4% of the batters he’s faced out of the bullpen while walking just 3 batters in 12 appearances.
  • Charles Fick - Has a 1.29 ERA, but a 3.61 FIP. 69% ground ball rate and is missing bats. Our nepotism claims have been shot to shreds, at least so far.
  • Arnoldi Cruz - Solid line drive rate and ISO support the numbers on the surface thus far. The man, the myth, the legend. Arnoldi Cruz once scissor kicked Chuck Norris into Narnia.
  • Nick Derba - 1.121 OPS for QC. 23% line drive rate and and 18.4% walk rate at 2 levels so far.

There are others that missed mention; DeJesus and Hage to name a couple. These are just some of the early standouts and laggards. De-slacko could start to tear it up and guys like Derba could fall off the face of the earth, and few would notice.

Notable MIAs:

Kozma, who signed almost a week ago and has yet to play a game, as well as Kyle Russell, Mike Stutes, Tyler Henley, Brett Zawacki, Adam Reifer (who has signed, just hasn’t played, probably because he had bone spurs removed from his elbow earlier this year…will he need TJ, too?) 1b C. J. Zeigler and RHP Dan Thomas. Just playing the waiting game with the way that MLB has put the kibosh on handing out crazy bonuses like Jolly Ranchers, hopefully most of these guys will come into the fold by Aug. 15th if they aren’t in already.

10 Responses to “Early Returns”

  1. Sometimes people comment that Lunhow and Walt/TLR aren’t on the same page but looking at the groundball rates from our draftees it appears that they don’t differ in that area.

  2. Just a note, Beau only turns 19 next month…he is actually younger then Kozma.

    Cruz and Beau have put a positive spin on a class that is really looking short on talent and long on overdrafts.

    Guess we gotta cross our fingers and hope someone steals Dewitt’s wallent and spends money on the very high ceiling Russell and Zawacki.

    And we better hope Kozma is every bit the player Luhnow thinks he is….or this draft class could go south, realy quick.

    We coul have another 2004 draft class on our hands.

  3. Not only has kozma not played, he still isn’t even on the roster of the Johnson City team. Is that still the team he is expected to report to?

    http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?t=t_ros&cid=438&stn=true&sid=t438

  4. According to the initial article by Matthew Leach, he was headed to Johnson City.

  5. Just heard from Tyler Henley that he has agreed to terms with the Cardinals. He will be leaving Texas Saturday morning to head out to New York where he will officially sign with the Organization. The signing bonus is apparently for $190,000 total. Obviously some of this money will be set aside for him to finish his education at Rice during the off-season. This bonus is well over slot so I don’t know how they’re doing it. My guess is they will list whatever is in excess of the slot for education purposes just to get around approval from the league (if that’s possible). Nice to see the Redbirds open their pockets to get a draftee signed.

    According to Tyler he will be sent to Batavia to get his feet wet this season. Hopefully he will be able to start playing by Sunday or Monday. The Cardinals are hoping after playing what is left of this season in Batavia he will be ready to head to spring training next season with the likely destination being Palm Beach.

    As one of Tyler’s former HS coaches and a life long Cardinal fan I’m elated to see one of the finest gentlemen I’ve ever coached become a Redbird.

  6. why would henley sign in ny? wouldn’t he have to go to fl to get his physical? seems a little weird that he would head right out to batavia.

    oh and kozma alive or did he get eaten by a gator in fl?

  7. it looks like henley is indeed a muckdog!!! welcome ot the family kid.

    http://blogs.chron.com/owls/2007/07/cdc_speaks.html

  8. Just looked on the GCL Cards website, and Kozma is listed as #41 on the roster. Not sure if he has played yet or not, but at least he is listed somewhere.

  9. Correction,

    Kozma played tonight. Nothing too exciting but he did well defensively and had a walk. WOO HOO for the future SS!

  10. he also played some RF in a suspended game that was finished.

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